Wearable devices are now a billion dollar business:
Fitbit Reports $712M Q415 and $1.86B FY15 Revenue; Guides to $2.4 to $2.5B Revenue in FY16. Press release.
In a wonderful article from the Washington Post the author reports:
Another friend, a woman in her 40s, explained: “I realized that there were a couple weeks where I took it off because it was making me feel bad when I was ‘failing,’ so why do that to myself?” Steven Petrow
Associated Press pointed out that:
One research firm, Endeavour Partners, estimates that about a third of these trackers get abandoned after six months. A health care investment fund, Rock Health, says Fitbit’s regulatory filings suggest that only half of Fitbit’s nearly 20 million registered users were still active as of the first quarter of 2015. Anick Jesdanun
This is consistent with what my patients are telling me. I’ve seen the same trend with relatives. But it is all very predictable because these devices fail on one fundamental count. People are not logical. Information alone does not lead people to make choices. Humans are driven by emotion and not just information. If that were not the case people would floss their teeth, not text while driving or borrow more than they can afford to pay.
Innovations that rely on people acting on information to improve healthcare outcomes have no longterm future. If we want people to change their choices we need to accept that information alone does not lead to behaviour change. Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging studies of the human brain have identified that our brains are resistant to change even when the change might be in our best interests. Habits drive our behaviours and are as an old pair of slippers, comfortable, familiar and easy. Change requires us to activate other parts of our brain, expend energy, learn and adopt new habits. Change requires effort which most people find uncomfortable. As a result, change is avoided and the easiest thing is to refuse to heed the message and bin the device.
There are three stages to adopting new behaviours:
- Unfreezing current patterns/unlearning old behaviours.
- Changing/applying new behaviours.
- Embedding new behaviours.
Of these wearables provide information that might get us underway with the first step by getting us to question the status quo. However that is far from what is required to get us to adopt a diet and exercise regimen. This so-called ‘disconfirming data’ is not enough – we can easily dismiss it, ignore it, or deny its validity. Which most people seem to be doing because it isn’t enough to generate new habits. Two other factors that are also essential to get us to the next stage:
- We need to accept that something is wrong and
- We need to believe that we can do what is necessary.
The ‘something wrong’ is the problem. Many people who are overweight or obese don’t see themselves are having a problem because in most cases the condition is asymptomatic. They may be surrounded by people who are of a similar body habitus and are therefore resistant to any notion that this body shape is in any sense abnormal. Finally for many people the idea that they might be able to change their shape is hard to swallow as in many cases they do not see results after weeks of effort.
For innovators a fundamental message is that there is no quick fix to healthcare problems because fundamentally humans are feeling not thinking creatures and therefore not responsive to messages that only tackle part of the drivers for change.
Picture by Philippe Put